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aud/usd Technicals

Friday, 21 November 2008 14:44:37 GMT

Australian Dollar Technical Outlook

By David Rodriguez, Quantitative Analyst

aud/usd Fundamentals

Saturday, 22 November 2008 03:50:25 GMT

Australian Dollar to Look Past Economic Data, Follow Stock Performance

By Ilya Spivak, Currency Analyst
Central Bank Interest
Central Bank Calendar
EURJPYGBPAUDCADNZDCHF  

Australian Dollar (AUD)

 ico-clock Current Time - Sydney: 9:05 PM | EST: 5:05 AM | GMT: 10:05 AM


SENTIMENT AND POSITIONING
SSI Positioning

AUD/USD Ratio: 1.67
Signal: Bearish


Full Article
COT Positioning

AUD:  The AUD index is at 0, but a closer look into the COT numbers reveals that the decline is probably not finished. 


Full Article
FUNDAMENTALS — THIS WEEKS ECONOMIC RELEASES
Most Recent Economic Releases Forecast Previous
AUD Retail Sales Ex Inflation(QoQ) (3Q) 0.4% -0.2% (R+)
AUD Reserve Bank of Australia Board Minutes (NOV)
AUD Preliminary BoP Imports s.a. (MoM) (oct) 8.0%
AUD Westpac Leading Index (MoM) (SEP) -0.1%
AUD New Motor Vehicle Sales (MoM) (OCT) -0.4% (R-)
AUD New Motor Vehicle Sales (YoY) (OCT) -8.6% (R-)
AUD RBA Assistant Governor Edey Gives Speech in Sydney
AUD Reserve Bank of Australia Governor Stevens Speaks in Melbourne


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Technicals - Support and Resistance for AUD
Support and Resistance Levels Interest Rate Outlook
Key Levels Strength Comments Timeframe Target
R4 07027 High Bollinger Band Resistance Benchmark 5.25
R3 0.6800 Medium Psychological Resistance
R2 0.6697 High 11/14 High 1 Week 5.750
R1 0.6561 Medium 20-Day SMA 1 Month 5.713
S1 0.6095 Medium Bollinger Band Support 3 Month 5.588
S2 0.6007 High 10/27 Low 6 Month 5.513
S3 0.5900 Weak Psychological Support 9 Month 5.325
S4 0.5800 Weak Psychological Support 1 Year 5.263
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FROM THE CENTRAL BANK
  Central Bank: Reserve Bank of Australia
  Current Bias: Neutral
  Current Interest Rate: 5.25%
  Last Change: 11/04/08 cut 75bp
  Next Meeting: 12/02/2008  More Dates
Latest RBA Interest Rate Outlook		  
Central Bank Governor: Glenn Stevens

Current Voting Members: Glenn Stevens, Ric Battellino, Ken Henry, John Akehurst, Jillian Broadbent, Roger Corbett, Graham Kraehe, Donald McGauchie, Warwick McKibbin