Research

usd/chf Technicals

Friday, 21 November 2008 14:40:10 GMT

Swiss Franc Technical Outlook

By David Rodriguez, Quantitative Analyst

usd/chf Fundamentals

Saturday, 15 November 2008 03:33:42 GMT

The Swiss Franc At Major Support Levels, Is A Retrace In Store?

By John Rivera, Currency Analyst

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Swiss Franc (CHF)

Current Time - Geneva: 5:16 AM | EST: 11:16 PM | GMT: 4:16 AM

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SENTIMENT AND POSITIONING

	SSI Positioning USD/CHF Ratio: -1.85 Trading Forecast: Bullish Full Article

	COT Positioning CHF: The 13 week index is at 2, after being at 6 last week. Full Article

FUNDAMENTALS — THIS WEEKS ECONOMIC RELEASES

	Most Recent Economic Releases	Forecast	Previous
	CHF Retail Sales (Real) (YoY) (SEP)	0.8%	0.0%
	CHF M3 Money Supply (YoY) (OCT)	1.5%	1.3% (R+)
	CHF Trade Balance (Swiss franc) (OCT)	1.28B	1.46B (R+)
	CHF Exports (MoM) (OCT)		-8.2%
	CHF Imports (MoM) (OCT)		-3.2%

More CHF Economic Releases

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Technicals - Support and Resistance for CHF

	Support and Resistance Levels						Interest Rate Outlook
	Key Levels		Strength	Comments			Timeframe	Target
	R4	1.2429	High	06/18/07 High			Benchmark	1.00
	R3	1.2300	Weak	Psychological Resistance
	R2	1.2219	Medium	Bollinger Band Resistance-			1 Week	1.025
	R1	1.2201	Medium	8/15/07 High			1 Month	1.142
	S1	1.2000	Medium	Psychological Support			3 Month	2.077
	S2	1.1765	High	20-Day SMA			6 Month	2.280
	S3	1.1447	High	50-Day SMA			9 Month	2.405
	S4	1.1311	Medium	Bollinger Band Support			1 Year	2.512

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FROM THE CENTRAL BANK

	Central Bank:	Swiss National Bank
	Current Bias:	Dovish
	Current Interest Rate:	1.00%
	Last Change:	11/20/2008 cut 100bp
	Next Meeting:	12/11/2008 More Dates

Latest Swiss National Bank Interest Rate Outlook

Central Bank Governor: Jean-Pierre Roth

Current Voting Members: Jean-Pierre Roth, Philipp Hildebrand, Thomas Jordan