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Canadian Dollar Forecast to Rally Against US Dollar

Thursday, 21 August 2008 14:32:20 GMT

Written by David Rodriguez, Quantitative Analyst and Antonio Sousa, Chief Strategist

USD/CAD Ratio: 1.92
Signal: Bearish

Currency Last Week Present* % Long % Change in Positions Outstanding Signal
USDCAD 1.25 1.41 59% -19.56% Bearish

SSI7_8-21

USDCAD – Since accurately predicting a sharp breakout in the USDCAD, our forex positioning data has since flipped its bias and continues to signal short-term losses in the US dollar against the Canadian dollar. The ratio of long to short positions in the USDCAD stands at 1.42 as nearly 59% of traders are long. Yesterday, the ratio was at 1.50 as 60% of open positions were long. In detail, long positions are 4.3% lower than yesterday and 33.4% weaker since last week. Short positions are 1.3% higher than yesterday and 13.6% stronger since last week. Typically when we see that forex traders are long the USDCAD but have stopped buying, it gives us a modestly bearish forecast for the USDCAD. A Canadian dollar calendar and forex technical updates can be seen in our USDCAD currency room.

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