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Euro Technical Outlook

Tuesday, 26 August 2008 14:06:06 GMT

Written by Jamie Saettele, Senior Currency Strategist

1.4671 was taken out and the EURUSD weakness has resumed.  This is the long term count that we have favored for sometime.  It calls for a bottom and reversal following completion of the drop from 1.6039, which is either the final leg of wave IV or the first leg of a new bear market. 

Either way, a sizeable bounce is expected to begin soon.  Lower prices are expected as long as price is below 1.4695, in order to complete 5 waves down from 1.4908.  There is a short term count that treats the drop to a new low as a b wave though.  This would suggest a sharp rally in wave c that ends above 1.49 before a new low is registered.  We’ll cover this count in the GBPUSD analysis.    

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