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COT 09/02

Tuesday, 02 September 2008 19:44:56 GMT

Written by Jamie Saettele, Senior Currency Strategist

GBP: The 52 week COT index remains at 0.  This reading indicates a bearish sentiment extreme and potential for a low to form.  Also, at -108,264, composite COT is the lowest ever!  The previous low was -92,119 in July 1999 (see vertical line on the chart). 

Cable was in a longer term downtrend at that point but rallied nearly 1,400 pips in less than 3 months following the extreme July 1999 reading.  The difference between then and now is that the percentage of commercials that we were long was at 90% then.  Now, just 80% commercials are long.   

 

Implications: bottoming?

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