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Post of the Day: EUR/USD

Tuesday, 02 December 2008 08:19:47 GMT

Written by Richard Krivo, Power Course Instructor

Student’s Question:

Is this a long wick that would probably signal a trend change?

Within how many candles would we expect a trend change after a long wick?

chart 12 01 08

Power Course Instructor’s Response:

Keep in mind that long wicks (along with other candle formations) signal the possiblity that an event might occur. A long wick might indicate a change in direction whereas an all-out trend change would not be occurring until we see the pair, if it had been in a downtrend, start to make higher highs and higher lows and begin to take out previous levels of resistance.

The most key factor a trader can look at to determine which way a pair is likely to move is the direction of the trend on the Daily chart. Since this EURUSD pair is still in a downtrend, we would only be looking for trades in that direction.

A trader can also check a lower time frame chart...1 hour or 4 hour...to see how price action is behaving in a faster time frame.

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